Loan Modifications - the Underlying Truth for December 2009

I think everyone would like to know just 'how' to obtain a loan modification, whether they are underwater or not. For the majority of Americans, they don't qualify for many reasons including the fact that they reside in relatively stable areas and the real estate market is okay. For others who aren't so lucky and whom the government has extended relief through its proxies, the banks, there is a formula that was recently revealed.

Although this formula is nothing new and any B-school student understands it, for many it means the difference between a loan mod or foreclosure. Here is a recent post that gives a good overview:

Loan Modifications, NPV Test the Key to Loan Modification Success

What is a NPV test?

If you are trying to work your way through a loan modification you know what it is, if you are planning to get a loan modification you should find out soon.

NPV stands for Net Present Value. It is a financial concept that allows lenders to work out if it is profitable to make a certain financial choice. In the case we are currently considering banks and lenders use the NPV test to decide if it makes sound financial sense to approve a loan modification or not.

Passing the NPV test is paramount if you want to get a loan modification. Put simply if you fail this particular test there is no loan modification for you. The bank will simply foreclose your home and bite the bullet on any losses they have to deal with, you are not worth the risk of a loan modification.

Understanding how the NPV test works is therefore a priority for borrowers. The only problem is that many of the variables in the NPV formula are secret so that homeowners can’t rig the test. However there are some steps a homeowner can take to at least tip the scales in his favor.

The Net Present Value provides a way for lenders to quantify the current value of a property taking certain factors into account. These factors include the cost of foreclosing the property, the chances of the borrower defaulting in the future despite the loan modification, this is called the loan modification re-default rate, which unfortunately for borrowers is rather high.

What can you do to improve your chances of passing the NPV test?

As we mentioned above the exact formula and values of variables are secret to make it harder for delinquent borrowers to influence the test. The test calculates / guesses on various factors:

a) How many months you are likely to pay before re-defaulting.

b) What are the chances you can fix your own finances without the help of a loan modification.

c) The value of your home.

d) The estimated value of your home next year.

e) The cost of foreclosing your home.

f) What the house is likely to go for if it is foreclosed.

However there are three steps a borrower can make to improve his/her chances.

1) Make it clear that you really want to stay in your house. If you can prove that staying in your house is very important for you despite the financial investment you have vested in your home this will give added strength to your claim. You might want to stay in your home because you live near to your aging parents, or you don’t want to change your children’s school or it would be a huge embarrassment for you to go through a foreclosure. If you prove that you will do anything to avoid a foreclosure the lender might rate your risk of re-defaulting more positively.

2) The value of your home is critical for your NPV test. Banks expect homeowners that own underwater properties to default. After all why would someone keep paying for a house that is worth less than the mortgage? It is hard to influence the valuation of your home but the federal government’s home value projections change at the beginning of every quarter. Even if you were turned down one quarter there is a chance you could be accepted the next quarter.

3) Make a good case of your current inability to pay the mortgage but how you are very willing to pay if the monthly payments are reduced. Be prepared to back these claims with evidence. Prepare a budget and provide bills and other proof of your income and expenses.